Both Trump and Carson are winning with Republicans, leading the pack together. Between them, it is a toss-up. A recent poll pitting them head to head showed Carson ahead of Trump by double digits. See the CNN story.

1. Polls put non-politicians on top

Ben Carson has knocked Donald Trump from his perch atop the field in Iowa, according to the latest Quinnipiac University poll of Iowa Republicans.

Carson has opened up an 8 percentage point lead over Trump with the help of women and white evangelicals, who overwhelmingly favor the soft-spoken former neurosurgeon over the outspoken billionaire. About 28% of likely caucusgoers said they support Carson, 20% back Trump, 13% support Florida Sen. Marco Rubio and 10% are for Texas Sen. Ted Cruz. Via cnn.com

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